The bank’s Director, Department of Economic Policy and Poverty
Reduction Programmes, Africa, Mr. Marcelo Giugale, stated this in a
report e-mailed to THISDAY at the weekend.
He expressed concern that a lot of money had been invested in improving statistics in a lot of countries in the continent, explaining that most of that money came as donations from well-meaning rich countries.
He expressed concern that a lot of money had been invested in improving statistics in a lot of countries in the continent, explaining that most of that money came as donations from well-meaning rich countries.
He said a report tagged: ‘Partnership in Statistics for Development in
the 21st Century,’ had revealed that between 2009 and 2011, Africa
received $700 million to build up its capacity to collect data. He
stressed that communication technology is what would revolutionise
African statistics.
Giugale added: “First, we don't really know how big (or small) many
African economies are. In about half of them, the system of “national
accounts” dates back to the 1960s (1968, to be precise); in the other
half, it is from 1993. This means that measuring things like how much is
produced, consumed or invested is done with methods from the times when
computers were rare, the Internet did not exist and nobody spoke about
"globalisation. That is, the methodology ignores the fact that some
industries have disappeared and new ones were born.
“How badly does this skew the data? Well, to give you an idea, when
Ghana used a newer methodology to update its accounts in 2010, it found
out that its economy was about 60 per cent bigger than it had previously
thought - and the country instantly became "middle-income" in the
global ranking.
“Second, the latest poverty counts for Africa are, on average, five
years old. So we only have guesstimates of how the global financial,
food and fuel crises have impacted the distribution of income, wealth
and opportunities in the region. This is because, to count the poor, you
need “household surveys” - those face-to-face, home visits where people
are asked how much they earn, own, know and so on. In fifteen African
countries, this has been done only once since 2000.”
The World Bank official pointed out that the advent of technology now
allows for the surveys to be done not only more frequently, but
continuously.
“Industrial surveys are even more infrequent than household surveys -
only a handful of African countries have done at least one in the last
ten years. This is a pity! Knowing what your producers are doing -- and
what keeps them from producing more - is critical if you want to design
policies that increase employment, productivity and economic growth.
“To be sure, academics, non-governmental organisations, development
banks and business organisations carry out sporadic surveys of
enterprises for one purpose or another - from understanding how informal
jobs are created to selling logistical services. But regular,
comprehensive, nation-wide data is, at best, rare,” he stated.